Next Up: Pakistan

NOVANEWS

Ominous signs of a major new war

I see someone besides myself has noticed all the “leaking” going on in the upper echelons of Washington over our rocky relationship with Pakistan. Suddenly Islamabad is on the verge  of being classified as part of the Axis of Evil, with the head of the  joint chiefs, Admiral Mullen, openly accusing the Pakistanis of “sanctioning” the killing of a journalist, and allying with a faction of the Taliban.  Since when does a military man – the titular uniformed head of the  US armed force, no less – speak out on such sensitive political matters?  Why, when he has the full backing of the White House – which obviously  has plans for the Pakistanis.

The new accusations add fuel  to the fire started by the discovery of Osama bin Laden’s Abbottabad  lair, where he had been hiding for years. The Pakistan-haters in the  administration – of which there seem to be plenty – were quick to  draw the conclusion that he’d been hiding with the knowledge and cooperation  of the Pakistani military – because of the hideout’s proximity to  an elite military academy. Which is odd, since it is well known that  al-Qaeda operatives were living in the US for years, undetected, as  they planned the 9/11 terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and  the Pentagon. Heck, FBI agents in the field warned Washington after  one of the terrorists took flight training lessons and was reported  for suspicious activities – to no avail. What if someone in Pakistan  had reported similarly suspicious activity in Abbottabad to the local  authorities, and no action had been taken – in the view of the anti-Pakistan  crowd, wouldn’t that constitute prima facie proof of Islamabad’s  guilt?
The ultimate prize for US imperialism  in the Middle East – the jewel in the crown of the emerging American  empire – is Iran, long the chief target of the War Party’s attention.  Yet they don’t have either the resources or the political support  for such an attack, and so the strategy, for the time being, is encirclement.  First, Iraq and Afghanistan, buttressing the substantial US military  presence in the Gulf – and now, Pakistan. (Azerbaijan, to the north,  has replaced Kyrgyzstan as the main way stationfunneling supplies to  American troops in the region.)
Shorn of its obstreperous military leaders,  who entertain delusions of autonomy, Pakistan will be fully integrated  into the American orbit – and Iran will be surrounded on all sides.
While keeping the heat on for  a direct attack on Iran, the powerful pro-Israel lobby – the driving  forcebehind the anti-Iran crowd – is biding its time, confident they’ll  win in the end. In the meantime, they are carefully building up momentum  for the final push toward war, and a key part of that is agitating for  a complete break in US-Pakistan relations.
The Lobby’s fingerprints  are all over the latest anti-Pakistani agitprop. It was one Simon Henderson,  described as the resident “expert” on Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities  at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP), who recently released an alleged letter from a  top official of the North Korean regime “proving” Pakistan supplied  Pyongyang with nuclear technology. WINEP was founded by Martin Indyk,  former research director of the American-Israel Public Affairs Committee  (AIPAC), as an “academic” adjunct to AIPAC, the primary conduit of pro-Israel  propaganda in the US.
That this letter is a forgery  seems almost beyond doubt: after all, why would a North Korean write  a letter to a Pakistani in English? And, come to think of it,  why would such a letter be written at all, given its highly incriminating  content? Yet – as recent history shows –  when it comes to disseminating  US government propaganda, such outlets as the Washington Post and the New York Times don’t have very high standards. Nobody  really cares if any of this is credible, let alone true: the idea is  to hurl such a barrage of accusations that a general impression of Pakistan’s  perfidy will be created. Where there’s smoke…
Signs of Iran’s warming relations  with Pakistan culminated in the agreement to build a gas pipeline that will transport Iranian gas to  Pakistani ports, throwing the hard-pressed regime in Tehran an economic  lifeline. The pipeline is expected to be operational in six months.  This does much to explain the recent flurry of anti-Pakistan rhetoric  coming out of Washington.
As I have said repeatedly,  US foreign policy is all about domestic politics. AIPAC is one of the  strongestand most feared of the Washington lobbies. It exerts a dominant  influence on US foreign policy in the “Near East” (one might ask  WINEP: “Near to what?”) and has been relentlessly beating the drums  for war with Iran. In this election year, President Obama – already  beleaguered – can hardly afford to ignore their complaints that he  isn’t moving decisively on the Iran front.
A war weary public can hardly  be expected to begin clamoring for the invasion and occupation of a  country several times larger and more populous than Iraq, yet that is  hardly enough to deter the Obama administration from laying the groundwork  for an attack. That’s what the sudden backstabbing of Pakistan is  all about.
From what I can discern, the  Obama-ites have continued a program initiated by the Bush regime in  Iranian Baluchistan, supporting the Jundallah armed grouping which carries  out attacks on Iranian civilians and government officials. Could it  be the Pakistanis are finally giving in to Iranian demands and no longer  allowing this US-backed terrorist band to operate from bases in their  territory? Islamabad has long  held this prospect  over the heads of its erstwhile allies in Washington.
A suitable pretext will have  to be established, naturally, before Washington can make any overt moves:   perhaps the Pakistani military will be deemed a “threat” to “Pakistani  democracy” – such as it is. In any case, the prospect of yet another  military coup in Islamabad is hardly shocking – in which case, one  scenario might involve the US military coming to the “aid” of President Asif Ali Zardari(popularly known by his nickname of “Mr. Ten Percent”). Another set up for US intervention could conceivably involve an alleged “terrorist threat” to Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal: it’s well  known the Americans have contingency plans in place already. Or – the easy route – would be to simply declare al-Qaeda had migrated  en masse to Pakistan, and increase our military presence gradually but  exponentially, which is the course we are presently on.
At this point, war with – or in – Pakistan seems almost inevitable: the question is not if, but  when.

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